Coal, oil, and gas are just cheaper!
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Coal, oil, and gas are just cheaper! *
New wind and solar projects are three times cheaper than the cost of the electricity Eskom provides (50-60c/kWh vs R1.95/kWh), the CSIR found in 2024. Earlier CSIR research already showed renewables were about 40% cheaper than new coal plants, with costs continuing to fall.
Globally, fossil fuels are losing ground fast. Energy thinktank Ember found that fossil fuel power is now in “permanent retreat” across OECD countries and declining across major emerging economies too. The Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) reports that more than 90% of new electricity projects globally in 2025 were wind and solar because of their collapsing costs.
South Africans are paying heavily to prop up coal. Energy subsidies reached at least R198 billion in the 2025 financial year, most of this fossil fuel subsidies in the form of Eskom bailouts, carbon tax exemptions and coal-linked electricity support. Eskom tariffs have risen by over 1100% since 2007 as consumers absorb the costs of coal plant corruption, debt overruns and diesel burning.
Coal’s hidden costs are even worse. Coal-linked air pollution caused an estimated 42,000 deaths in South Africa in 2023 alone and cost the economy more than R900 billion in lost productivity and health damage.
Cheaper electricity is possible. The barrier is not renewable energy – it is a costly coal system built on debt, pollution, and repeated bailouts.
Renewables are already cheaper to build and run. If the billions spent on bailouts and subsidies went into clean energy, your cost of living would be lower.
Still not convinced?
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The CSIR’s 2024 power generation statistics finds that the power Eskom sells South Africans is more than three times as expensive, on average, as what new wind and solar could deliver (R1,95 per kWh vs 50-60 cents per kWh)
Earlier CSIR studies such as one in 2017 found that new wind and solar projects in South Africa were about 40% cheaper than building new coal plants. The cost plummeted in the following 10 years and continues to decrease.
The 2024 CSIR study also cites global cost data showing that new wind and solar are now cheaper than even the cheapest new fossil fuel plants (usually gas).
In fact, since 2023, the CSIR and Meridian Economics, and separately the Presidential Climate Commission, found that the cheapest energy pathway for South Africa includes no new coal, no new nuclear, and massively increased renewables, while restricting gas exclusively to a minimal, low-utilisation peaking support role.
Global energy thinktank Ember found that fossil fuels have passed their peak and are now in “permanent retreat” in the 38 member states of the OECD (Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development), as coal-fired power plants are decommissioned.
This shift is now extending beyond the OECD: fossil-fuel power is falling in most major emerging economies for the first time this century besides the COVID era, Ember found.This became possible due to the plummeting cost of solar, wind and other forms of renewable energy, which “remain the most cost-competitive source of new electricity generation.” The Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU) found that in 2025, more than 90% of new electricity projects globally were solar and wind power, due to their “collapsing” costs.
Mainstream institutions like the International Energy Agency in 2015 completely underestimated the speed of the green transition and still projected the decline of fossil fuels, with actual deployment exceeding the IEA's expectations by 1,500%. By 2023, the IEA's data confirmed that renewables have completely overtaken legacy fossil fuels.
Solar power is now “the cheapest source of electricity in history.”
These observations show that the Paris Agreement on climate change is having an effect, even if not yet on the scale needed to avert the worst of climate breakdown.
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South Africa's fossil fuel subsidies tripled between 2018 and 2023, reaching R118 billion. By 2024, they stood at almost R200 billion, most of this for the fossil fuel industry.
These increases were driven by Eskom bailouts and carbon tax exemptions (note that this carbon tax still has to be paid*). To put that in perspective: R200 billion is roughly equivalent to South Africa's entire annual basic education budget.
These subsidies take several forms, most of which are invisible to ordinary consumers:
Eskom bailouts: R230 billion was committed as direct financial support to Eskom over a decade from 2019, and another R50 billion in debt relief across 2025–2029. Eskom is a coal utility, which makes these coal bailouts.
Carbon tax exemptions: South Africa introduced a carbon tax in 2019, but with enormous carve-outs for the biggest emitters (partly thanks to their lobbying over 20 years to weaken things like carbon tax regulations. Eskom's exemption from paying the full carbon tax on its coal-fired generation alone represented R47 billion in foregone government revenue in 2023.
Electricity subsidies that go to coal by default: Because 86% of South Africa's electricity comes from coal, broad electricity support programmes, including Free Basic Electricity, are effectively coal subsidies.
All of us are paying these costs, whether we realise it or not, because they are paid through our taxes, through government borrowing, and through the national debt.
We are subsidising the wrong thing: subsidies for renewables amounted to less than 5% of fossil fuel subsidies in 2024. And still, that tiny investment delivered helped unlock 7.3 GW of generation capacity. This is 13% of total national capacity, and more than the shortfall that brought about loadshedding.
To sum up: South Africa is spending hundreds of billions on ageing, unreliable coal fleet whose performance has declined for two decades, and only a fraction of that on wind and solar power, which have delivered faster and cheaper electricity than any coal plant in recent decades.
Subsidies are a legitimate economic tool used to support industrial development and protect consumers. In South Africa, however, we’re subsidising the polluting, expensive option at the expense of cheap renewables.
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Eskom's tariffs have increased by over 900% since 2007. They’ll keep rising too: in 2025/26, tariffs rose by 12.74% for direct Eskom customers and 11.32% for municipal bulk purchasers.
A further 8.76% increase has been approved for 2027. Loadshedding has effectively ended, so why is your electricity price still rising rapidly?
Consumers are paying off the cost of a coal-dependent system built on debt, poor procurement, and corruption:
Medupi and Kusile exemplify this. Budgeted at R70 billion and R80 billion respectively, the final costs of these two coal power stations escalated to almost three times the expected figures, at R208 billion and R239 billion. South African researchers concluded that corruption and state capture were central to these disasters, and criminal prosecutions, asset seizures, and parliamentary inquiries have since confirmed systematic looting across both build programmes.
Eskom took over the debt and is recovering the money from you, the consumer, through tariff hikes. In the words of energy analyst Matthew Cruise, writing in BusinessTech: “South African consumers are now being asked to cover the accounting consequences of those overruns.”
And Eskom burns expensive diesel when its old coal fleet fails. Diesel burning in Open Cycle Gas Turbines during these frequent emergency failures costs up to 14 times more than new wind and solar per KwH.
The high tariffs you pay are because of reliance on an ageing coal fleet. Eskom has spent R65 billion in the five years between 1999 and 2924 on diesel, and even with better coal fleet performance recently, R6.38 billion in 2025/2026. These costs are recouped through the raising tariffs that you pay.
The South African Reserve Bank has documented the process: the electricity pricing regime links tariffs directly to Eskom's costs. This means that every bailout, every overrun, every diesel purchase, and every debt repayment for this coal-diesel-reliant system contributes to the price consumers pay.
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The cost of utility-scale renewables is now more than three times less than the national average electricity tariff (50c / 60c vs R1.95/kWh, respectively), the CSIR has found.
This means that cheaper electricity is possible. The barrier we need to address is the system structured around coal procurement, coal infrastructure and coal debt.
Redirecting subsidies from coal to renewables would mean cheaper electricity, a more stable grid, and a bill that reflects what power actually costs to produce – instead of what it costs to build badly, manage poorly, and bail out repeatedly.
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Carbon dioxide is overwhelmingly responsible for climate change, and 95% of it comes from the extraction and combustion of fossil fuels. In South Africa, about half of our greenhouse gases (mostly carbon dioxide) come from electricity and heat generation.
Our coal-based electricity grid is by far South Africa’s largest contribution to the climate impacts from which the planet, and our country, are suffering additional expenses. SA is the 15th largest emitter globally.
Climate change is very expensive. For example, over 70% of the 2022 KZN flood damage was uninsured against weather related damage. Climate change “significantly worsened” the floods, Wits’ scientists found.
Of the almost R55 billion in damages, most of the cost was absorbed by households, businesses and government as a result.